Security experts and analysts have warned that Pakistan, incapable of conventional warfare, may now adopt a strategy to weaken India economically. If Pakistan, with China’s tacit or overt support, targets sensitive trade and energy hubs like Gujarat, it will not only impact India’s economy but also disrupt global oil markets and investment flows. Analysts believe that tacit support from the US is likely in this situation, further deepening geopolitical complexities.
Has the strategic map changed ?
Pakistan has seen limitations in defeating India on conventional fronts, so in a shift in strategy, it may now consider targeting economic assets—ports, refineries, container terminals, and energy infrastructure. Such attacks will not only cause physical destruction; they will also impact insurance premiums, global oil prices, and foreign investor confidence.
Who is behind the plot?
Analyst R. Jagannathan is quoted as saying that Pakistan may seek technical and intelligence support from China in this effort, and that some global powers concerned about India’s rapid economic rise may play a tacit role in supporting it. This could impact India’s economic goals and strategic priorities.
Why is Gujarat vulnerable?
Gujarat is home to refineries, container terminals, large industrial complexes, and energy projects, which are the lifelines of many of the country’s industries. A major attack would not only cause local devastation but could also destabilize international supply chains and markets.
Military and Strategic Concerns
Analysts say that Pakistan could attempt to exploit perceived weaknesses in India’s current military balance (limited Air Force squadron numbers, etc.). If India were to face aggression, it would increase the likelihood of both bilateral tensions and international intervention.
